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Good morning and welcome to the Hodl Report

There’s reading charts—and then there’s watching your bags get body slammed because you didn’t read the chart. This week, we’re handing out survival kits: one guide to decoding token unlocks before they wreck your portfolio, and one cautionary tale featuring 51,000 wallets who thought Kanye’s token couldn’t drop the mic that hard. Plus, a crypto trivia question to keep you sharp—because at this rate, your brain needs better exercise than your portfolio.

Editors Corner

How to Read a Token Unlock Chart And Not Get Dumped On

If you want to know why your favorite altcoin suddenly tanked 40% in a week, there’s a good chance the answer is simple: unlocks.

Most people don’t bother looking at token unlock charts. They just buy because the chart looks pretty or because some influencer said “next 100x.” But here’s the deal: unlocks are supply shocks in disguise.

Here’s how it usually works:

  • Early investors and the team get a big chunk of tokens, but those are locked up for a while.

  • Price looks strong because supply is tight. Price action is up.

  • Then the lock comes off. Suddenly millions of tokens flood the market, and price craters under all that sell pressure.

If you want to avoid being the one holding the bag, you need to ask a few simple questions before you buy:

  • How many tokens are actually going to hit the market soon?

  • Who’s holding them—VCs, insiders, or the community?

  • Is there enough demand to soak it up, or are you just lining up to be someone else’s exit liquidity?

That’s it. Nothing fancy. If a project has a massive unlock coming in the next few months, don’t be shocked when the price chart looks like it fell off a cliff.

To illustrate, you can see in the chart below, SUI had a huge unlock in April of last year. Looking at the black line you can also see that price tank just prior and into that cliff unlock.

Moral of the story: always check the unlock chart. If it makes your stomach drop, that’s probably a sign. Better to pass on the trade than to learn the hard way why insiders love “vesting schedules.”

Pro Tip: There were a few links in yesterdays report for finding token unlocks but my favorite (where that chart above is from) is https://tokenomist.ai/

Today’s Report

Yeezy Come, Yeezy Go: 51,000 Wallets Rekt in Kanye Token Crash

🚨 Our Report
Kanye West’s YZY token launched with so much hype it nearly sprouted wings—rising 1,400% within the first hour only to crash over 80% almost as quickly. In the end, more than 51,000 of the 70,000+ wallets that hopped on the jet lost a combined ~$74 million, while an elite few—11 wallets—walked away with over $1 million each. One “insider,” Hayden Davis, allegedly scooped up $12 million from the chaos. Even kickboxer‑turned‑crypto commentator Andrew Tate went down swinging, losing a cool $700,000.

🔓 Key Points

  • YZY token—backed by Kanye—exploded 1,400% shortly after its Solana launch on August 21, then plunged 80%.

  • Over 70,200 wallets took the risk; 51,800+ realized losses totaling roughly $74 million, while 11 pulled in more than $1 million each.

  • Three wallets even lost more than $1 million apiece.

  • Hayden Davis, co-creator of the MELANIA memecoin and alleged “sniper,” allegedly made $12 million by jumping in early.

  • A network of traders linked to someone dubbed “Naseem”—credited with a $100 million Trump-related windfall—also reportedly got in early and profited massively.

  • Andrew Tate took a leveraged short position via Hyperliquid and lost about $700,000.

  • Celebrity-endorsed memecoins on Solana are a notoriously brutal game—over 30 launched in June 2024 down at least 73% since.

🔐 Relevance
Well, isn’t this the perfect script for meme coin mania—flashy launch, steep butterfly effect, and a concentration of winners that reads like a hedge fund hall‑of‑fame (or shame). And no—it’s not a fluke; it's the nature of celebrity-driven memecoins. They launch on tidal waves of hype, spike, then crater—leaving retail traders holding the wedge of their FOMO-fueled positions.

Hayden Davis’s alleged $12 million haul epitomizes this asymmetry: a few play sniper, most play spectator. While any rational narrative should scream “avoid,” our collective greed continues to whisper, “what if you’re the speedster, not the tortoise?”

And let’s be real—this isn’t about utility, tech, or long‑term value. It’s theatrics squared, with financial ends for the lucky few and losses for the many. If you’re unfortunate enough to be among the 51,000 losers, let this be your wake-up call: celebrity and volatility are a toxic duo. Smart money plays tokens with utility, not headline-driven hype.

Today’s Top News

Headlines

  • Chainlink to Provide U.S. Department of Commerce Data On‑Chain — Chainlink will integrate official macroeconomic data from the U.S. Department of Commerce into blockchain networks. This enables developers to build smart contracts that access trusted, real-time government data. It's a landmark step in merging public data infrastructure with decentralized tech.

  • Crypto Could Land in Iowa 401(k) Plans — With Caution — A new executive order may soon allow crypto investments in Iowa retirement accounts. While promising greater portfolio diversification, financial experts warn of increased volatility and advise restraint. The move could shift how Americans think about digital assets and retirement savings.

  • Bitcoin Eyes $120K as Market Mood Improves — Bitcoin is bouncing back, currently hovering near $113,000 after a lull in selling pressure. Ethereum is nearing $5,000, and XRP is testing resistance at $3.35. The overall mood suggests renewed bullish sentiment across major tokens.

  • Goldman’s $721M Ethereum ETF Bet Signals Institutional Takeoff — Goldman Sachs has taken a dominant $721 million position in Ethereum ETFs, becoming the largest institutional holder. This signals a major shift in Wall Street’s posture toward crypto. Analysts say this could usher in broader institutional momentum.

  • Jefferson County Warns of Sophisticated Bitcoin Scam — Residents are being targeted by scammers posing as U.S. Customs agents demanding Bitcoin deposits. Victims are tricked into using crypto kiosks under pressure, leading to irreversible losses. Authorities remind the public that no legitimate agency requests crypto payments.

Market Trendline

Price Action


The overall crypto arena is drifting upward quietly, with Bitcoin hovering near $113K, showing mild strength amid waning market volume. Contrastingly, Ethereum is punching in red territory, slipping mid-single digits after recent highs. Altcoins are mixed, with a standout explosion—but broader sentiment remains cautious.

Notable Movers

  • Bitcoin (BTC): Up ~2% in the past 24 hours, now trading near $113K, reclaiming footing above the tentative $110K–$109K support zone. Traders are positioning for potential volatility from looming month-end options expiry.

  • Ethereum (ETH): Taking a mild hit—down between 0.3% and 3% depending on source—amid easing momentum post-record run. Whale activity on-chain hints at cautious profit-taking.

  • HOME: Enter the thriller-token: surging a staggering 624.5% in 24 hours to about $0.040. Short-term relief rally or pump-and-dump in training? Either way, pure chaos.

  • Cardano (ADA): Quietly shrugging off volatility—down ~3%, then bouncing ~2%, now trading near $0.87, supported by speculation around SEC ETF developments.

  • Hedera (HBAR): Stuck in a narrow trading band (~$0.24) but buoyed by institutional news: SWIFT testing its blockchain and Grayscale rolling out an HBAR fund. Volume is ticking up even if price isn’t.

Macro View

  • Options & Technicals: Bitcoin’s bounce above $110K looks defensive, not aggressive. Options expiry toward month-end could catalyze a leg-up—or a flush if bearish gamma squeezes dominate.

  • Institutional Relay: Ethereum’s dip could be a standard cooldown following speculative highs. Meanwhile, assets like HBAR are tracking corporate engagement, not headlines.

  • Altcoin Mania & Meme Risk: HOME’s wild move reminds us that crypto isn’t always about fundamentals. It's about who tweets first, or who decides to sleeplessly bait the FOMO masses.

Bottom Line
Bitcoin is acting like a calculating heavyweight—steady, telling. Ethereum is taking a breather after the sprint. ATCs (Alt‑Token Chaos) are alive and kicking, especially in joke or headline‑chasing corners of the market.

Today’s Top Tweet

Crypto Twitter Never Sleeps

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.

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