
Good morning and welcome to the Hodl Report
Apple’s worth $3.5 trillion. Cool story—so was the Roman Empire, once. In today’s Hodl Report, we’re stacking up the world’s biggest companies next to Bitcoin… and watching their market caps age like milk. If you’ve ever wondered what happens when finite money meets infinite printing, you’ll want to see these this.
Today’s Report
The 21‑Million Straitjacket: Why Your Favorite Stocks (and Currencies) Keep Losing Weight

I’ve spent the morning timing Nvidia’s meteoric rise with a sundial, only to hit a hard truth: there’s one asset that never bloats, Bitcoin. Our chip‑slinging overlord now prices in at 35.8 million BTC. Cute, but math says not gonna fit—there will only ever be 21 million coins. Same story for Apple (26 million BTC) and Tesla (8.3 million BTC). Toss in the entire Chinese yuan pile (377 million BTC) and the good ol’ greenback (184 million BTC) and the shoebox starts looking comically small.
When I first ran this exercise last October, Nvidia was 46 million BTC, Apple 55 million BTC, and Tesla 12.9 million BTC. Since then they’ve shaved 23%, 53%, and 36% off their Bitcoin waistlines respectively. Their gyms? Productivity growth plus an unyielding 21‑million‑coin cap.
Let’s look at the implications:
🪫 Everything deflates in BTC terms. New productivity keeps flooding in; the supply of coins does not. The scoreboard adjusts by reducing their price relative to bitcoin.
⏫ Bitcoin inflates against everything else. If the denominator is locked, the numerator balloons. That’s not hopium; it’s arithmetic.
🏦 Fiat? Rekt. Dollars, euros, yuan—each must cram into the same 21 million slots.
Is this just laser‑eye propaganda? Pull up a chart: since 2009 Bitcoin has trounced every major asset class, meme stocks included. Past performance isn’t a guarantee (yada yada) but the direction of travel is embarrassingly one‑sided.
So yes, the Great Repricing is happening. Imagine the California Gold Rush, except the dirt itself is disappearing and the shovels are digital keys. The sooner you measure wealth in sats instead of stonks or dollars, the wealtheir you’ll be and the better you’ll feel.
Today’s Top News
Headlines
PNC Bank to Offer Crypto Access Through Coinbase Amid Growing Institutional Demand — PNC is integrating crypto trading through Coinbase for its clients, signaling significant institutional adoption and banking support for retail crypto access.
Crypto investors lost $2.5B to hacks/scams in H1 2025 — Over $2.47 billion was stolen in H1 2025—already surpassing all of 2024—driven by major incidents like Bybit and Cetus exploits, and signaling persistent security threats. (CoinDesk)
‘Altseason is here’ — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week — With Bitcoin consolidation after $123K highs and increasing altcoin dominance, indicators suggest altcoins are taking the lead—marking a possible shift in market cycle.
Bitget Wallet launches first fiat withdrawal via MoonPay — Bitget enabling USDT/USDC withdrawal via MoonPay signals increasing fiat‑crypto interoperability and ease of exit for users.
Market Trendline
Price Action
The crypto market is taking a temp—they’re digesting a legislative one-two punch faster than your average meme coin. Bitcoin is hovering in the $118 K–$119 K range after last week's high-flying $123 K, with volatility creeping in around Fed jitters. So yes, expect drama. Altcoins are showing pockets of life but it's mostly wait-and-see time. Overall crypto cap eased ~1–1.5%, now sitting near $3.9–4 trillion
Notable Movers
Ethereum (ETH): Down ~3–4% today after surging over 6% last week. This yo-yo pattern stems from stablecoin yield rules that ban interest-bearing versions, redirecting yield demands toward DeFi—but uncertainty around execution is weighing in
Solana (SOL): Up
3–4% intraday, maintaining last night's 6% gain off hefty volume ($14 billion traded in 24 hrs) . Momentum continues on institutional signup and memecoin hype fueled by regulatory tailwinds.Memecoins & small-caps: Coins like Flare (FLR +12%), Pudgy Penguins (+6.5%), Quant (+5%) and TRUMP token (+8%) are hitting double-digit gains on thin volume—classic volatility sizzle
Macro View
Two new laws are shaping sentiment: the Genius Act imposes strict one-to-one reserves and bans yield-bearing stablecoins, crimping stablecoin yields and nudging capital toward Ethereum-based DeFi . Then there's the Clarity Act, still pending Senate sign-off, which would parse tokens into commodities vs securities, clarifying regulatory oversight. Watch its Senate movement before the August recess—markets will react fast.
Meanwhile, macro headline ahead: investors are keeping an eye on Federal Reserve Chair Powell’s speech for clues on inflation and rates. BTC dropped to ~$117 K amid ETF outflows previously, so any dovish or hawkish pivot from the Fed could shake risk sentiment even harder
Bottom Line
Crypto is in consolidation mode: clearing regulatory uncertainty and macro signals before the next big move. Ethereum and Solana remain the primary upside bets, especially if DeFi demand holds firm. But with attention split between Washington and the Fed, we’re in for a choppy ride. Strap in—details over next week could redefine this range-bound stage. — Movement Labs allegedly granted a shadow market‑maker control over 66 million MOVE tokens, triggering a $38 million sell‑off. Investigations reveal self‑dealing via obscure intermediaries
Today’s Top Tweet
Crypto Twitter Never Sleeps
"Trading bitcoin is a sign of lower intelligence"
-- Saylor.— #Fred Krueger (#@dotkrueger)
7:41 AM • Jul 17, 2025
How'd I do this week?
Are you a crypto trader?
I have two products designed to help traders. Check them out if you are looking for an edge or just to learn to become a more successful trader!
You made it to the bottom, congrats! I really appreciate you reading. If you enjoyed today’s content please share it with a friend and if you aren’t already subscribed please do!
DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.